Now that the early-entry withdrawal deadline (or whatever it’s officially called) has come and gone, it’s time to take another look at the draft.  It turns out that only one player that I had slotted in the first round in my first mock draft has elected to return to college — Gani Lawal of Georgia Tech.  Still, with developments and all this draft should look at least a bit different than the first.

Predraft camp measurements, available at DraftExpress, are the basis of my height/weight stats. Weights are rounded to the nearest 5 pounds.  Since not all players wore the same size shoe, I take their barefoot height and add 1″, then round up to the nearest half-inch.  Since the average shoe was between 1 and 1.25″, this seems fair.  Measurements in gray indicate estimates for a player who was not at the predraft camp.

Pick Team Player Comments
1 L.A. Clippers Blake Griffin, post, 6′9.5″ 250, So. Oklahoma Griffin measured out perhaps a bit taller than expected (with all the rumor flying about that he was 6’8″ in shoes), not that it would have mattered.  After initially being coy about whether they might trade the pick or look at other players, the Clippers appear to have given up on trying to fool anybody.  They’re clearly not seeing any trade offers that knock their socks off (if they’re even fielding any at all) and Griffin will be playing 43 games in Staples Center next year.  There are rumblings that Chris Kaman may be the odd man out in their impacted frontcourt but I don’t really buy it.  Zach Randolph makes a lot more money, has a much worse attitude, and he’s the one who plays Griffin’s position.  Look for them to sell Randolph for pennies on the dollar (not literally, due to salary matching rules).
2 Memphis Hasheem Thabeet, post, 7′2.5″ 265, Jr. Connecticut I’m tempted to put Rubio here, but ultimately I think the Grizzlies will play it safe and go with the guy they’ve been scouting extensively for the last year.  Obviously that will all change if they agree on a trade before the draft, but if Memphis fans’ demands of #4 and Jason Thompson are anywhere near accurate, they’re not likely to find a suitor.  Thabeet and Gasol the Younger will make an odd frontcourt pair, but it seems the Grizzlies are prepared to go with it, and if nothing else, it’s makes for a really tall team and gives Mike Conley one last chance to hold on to the PG position.
3 Oklahoma City James Harden, wing, 6′5″ 220, So. Arizona State Again, there are a couple of ways to go here.  With Thabeet out of the mix, don’t look for the Thunder to go after Jordan Hill.  The #1 targets are Harden and Evans, with a wee possibility of Curry.  It seems odd, though, that the Thunder would want to go with another point guard having selected Russell Westbrook at #4 just last year.  Especially so, given that Durant and Green naturally slot into the SF and PF positions.  Harden is the perfect fit here – not a PG, but a good passing, good rebounding, good shooting, taller and more athletic than advertised wing.  The kid may actually end up being the best player in the draft, and it would be silly for the Thunder to pass on him.
4 Sacramento Ricky Rubio, point, 6′4″ 180, 18 y.o. Spain The Rubio buyout saga took a turn for the bizarre about a week back when his Spanish team sold the buyout clause in his contract to the equivalent of the Spanish IRS while Rubio was trying to get into mediation with the club over it.  This is not a joke.  This actually removes almost all of Rubio’s leverage in trying to dictate which club will draft him.  Previously, he was using the cost of the buyout as a threat: if I don’t want to go to your team, I’ll stay in Spain.  But when DKV Joventut sold the buyout clause to a no-reason-to-negotiate government agency, they burned Rubio’s bridges for him.  There is NO CHANCE Rubio plays anywhere but the NBA next year, because he’s not going back to Joventut.  This increases the chance that Memphis or OKC might take him, but I think he will eventually fall to the Kings.  The Kings say they’re not sold on him, even at #4, which basically means they’re not trading away Thompson to get him at #2.  No more, no less.
5 Washington Tyreke Evans, wing/point, 6′5″ 220, Fr. Memphis This pick is and has always been a candidate for trade.  But Evans’ stock is sky-high and running two big, athletic point guards next to each other would be a nifty experiment.  Evans needs to improve his shooting and his decision making, but he can break down a defense like nobody’s business.  I think he’s the #5 player in this draft right now, what remains to be seen is whether Washington (or their trading partner) sees it the same way.
6 Minnesota Demar DeRozan, wing, 6′6.5″ 210, Fr. USC Minnesota is reportedly high on Evans here, but with Tyreke off the board, most seem to think Minnesota will go with one of the other points.  I think that would be a good move, but after the Corey Brewer disappointment I’m predicting Minnesota goes out on a bit of a limb and picks a wing here.  DeRozan is another hyperathletic wing with a high ceiling.  Fortunately, he seems to be about as ready as can be hoped for from a freshman.  Minnesota will take him and start to look PG at #18.
7 Golden State Stephen Curry, point, 6′3″ 180, Jr. Davidson Golden State needs a point guard out of this draft badly, and the one saving grace is that pretty much all the best players available here are points.  With Monta Ellis in place as a second guard looking for his own shot, I like Jrue Holiday here.  But reports now suggest that Ellis is angry about the Warriors’ threats to nullify his contract after his ill-advised moped accident, and that he’ll demand a trade if the Warrior grab a PG here.  Well, the Warriors don’t have much choice in this mock unless they go after Jordan Hill. (The T-Will rumors won’t pan out, not at #7.  If they really want him, they’ll look to trade down or more likely hope to pick up another pick.)  Since Ellis may be gone with a PG pick, the Warriors will want to replace his scoring.  That guy is Stephen Curry.  Bonus: this selection will really cheese off Knick fans.
8 New York Jordan Hill, post, 6′10.5″ 230, Jr. Arizona The Knicks are reportedly pretty high on Stephen Curry, but with Golden State taking him out from under their nose, they’ll need to go elsewhere.   I’m sure they’d love a big man with Lee a restricted free agent this offseason, and Jordan Hill has to get selected sometime. I think this is about as high as Hill can hope to go after being up in the top five of most mock drafts all year. He’s big and athletic, so he might actually pan out, but I think hopes have been a bit tempered on him.  Still, he helps fill out the frontcourt, and the Knicks then buckle down and hope LeBron doesn’t sign an extension before the 2010 offseason.
9 Toronto Jrue Holiday, point, 6′4.5″ 200, Fr. UCLA Toronto is, pure and simple, in need of a good wing from this draft.  And DeRozan and Evans (more of a point-wing) are gone.  What’s left is a bunch of point guards.  Despite having Calderon in the fold, I think the Raptors have to go BPA here and figure it all out later.  And BPA, despite his underwhelming freshman year at UCLA, is Jrue Holiday.  They aren’t going to want to play him next to Calderon in light of how badly he played the off-guard next to Darren Collison, but they’ll figure something out.
10 Milwaukee Jonny Flynn, point, 6′0.5″ 195, So. Syracuse Here we find yet another team with some pressure to find a point guard, this time because their young point with huge potential (Ramon Sessions) is going to be pretty expensive to keep, and they’re likely to bump against the luxury tax to keep him even without holding on to Charlie Villanueva.  If they can land a young point (and luckily this draft is flush with them), they can relax as far as the Sessions situation goes — and that’s why they go for Flynn here.  Although he was considered a marginal first rounder for most of the season, his clutch performance in the billion-overtime game against UConn launched him into the spotlight and the lottery.
11 New Jersey DeJuan Blair, post, 6′6.5″ 275, So. Pittsburgh Blair has seen his stock take a hit over allegedly red-flagged knees, but it appears that those concerns may be overblown.  I’m going to stick with Nets’ President Rod Thorn’s request for a “moose” in the draft.  Blair is no doubt the moose in the draft and while his height may cost him big slots in the draft, his 747 torso and big wingspan (as has been said, you don’t rebound with the top of your head) will likely make up for it.  Put Blair next to Brook in the post and just dare the other team to get any rebounds at all.
12 Charlotte Gerald Henderson, wing, 6′5″ 215, Jr. Duke Popular opinion seems to be that Michael Jordan will be unable to resist a North Carolina college product with this pick, with their radar focused on Duke’s Henderson.  I’m going to give in to popular opinion here and pencil Henderson in as the hopeful successor to Raja Bell.
13 Indiana Brandon Jennings, point, 6′1″ 170, 19 y.o. USA Indiana isn’t really looking for a point, but they’re pretty strong at the wing with Granger and Dunleavy, and not weak enough at the post to take a chance on Mullins and his work ethic when Brandon Jennings is on the board.  He’s been running his mouth lately (somewhat remorsefully) about Ricky Rubio and his disrespectful attitude may cost him a few slots in the draft.  It’s tough to entrust the leadership of your team to a blowhard but with Jennings’ speed and handles, it’s hard to let him go past #13.
14 Phoenix Earl Clark, wing, 6′9.5″ 230, Jr. Louisville The Suns might do best to try to find an eventual replacement for the aging Nash here, but the top points (outside of Lawson) are gone.  Since Hill and Barnes are free agents, maybe a wing would be a good decision here, and since Phoenix doesn’t play any defense Terrence Williams doesn’t make any sense, no matter how much he should.  Clark, however, has the size to bounce between the wing and the post, which could be important for a team staring an aging Shaq, an aging and unsigned Hill, and an unsigned Matt Barnes.
15 Detroit James Johnson, wing/post, 6′8″ 255, So. Wake Forest Johnson works in much the same way as Clark as a player that can swing between the wing and the post — he’s an inch and a half shorter than Clark but 25 pounds heavier, and he may fill the same kind of role as a Jeff Green, playing most effectively as a small, athletic post.  With some questions in the post this offseason (though I think Boozer will eventually answer some of those in free agency) they might go after Mullens, but Johnson is probably too talented to pass up here.
16 Chicago B.J. Mullens, post, 7′1″ 260, Fr. Ohio State Projected as a top-5 pick going into the college season, Mullens has dropped like a rock over questions about his intensity and and inability to, well, not so much “dominate” as just “be close to good” in college.  But 7-footers don’t grow on trees, and the Bulls recognize this, hold their noses, and select him with the hope that he’ll decide either that he loves basketball, or that he’ll need to work harder to make the money he wants to supply to his needy family.  Either way, if they can get him to play hard, the pick will be worthwhile.
17 Philadelphia Ty Lawson, point, 6′0.5″ 195, Jr. UNC At one point I thought Lawson could go toward the back half of the top ten, but I think his stock has slipped significantly (if it was ever really that high).  Last year he was probably the #20 pick, and this year he’s probably the #17 pick.  That in and of itself is no great shakes, but the National Championship would make it all worth it.  With Andre Miller a free agent and Philly in big salary trouble, a league-ready guard like Lawson can step in and allow Philly to let Andre Miller go in free agency and avoid the luxury tax in one fell swoop.
18 Minnesota Austin Daye, wing, 6′11″ 190, So. Gonzaga This is a perfect slot for a PG after surprisingly going with DeRozan at #6, but the T’Wolves can’t turn down another fundamentally solid wing with their second pick.  Daye may not fall this far (he seemed to indicate that without a top-20 promise he would go back to school, which he didn’t), but if he does I don’t see how they can pass on him.  Sure, he’s skinnier than Tayshaun Prince and he has some room for improvement, but he’s so tall, so long, so athletic, and has such a pretty stroke that you have to believe in him.
19 Atlanta Jeff Teague, point, 6′1.5″ 175, So. Wake Forest Teague is a tough guy to project — he’s got speed and handles and a great stroke, but a me-first attitude and potential character problems on top of a shooting guard’s game in a point guard’s body.  These latter issues are the reason he’s not a top-10 pick, but they’re also the reason that going back to school for another year probably won’t help him — he’s not a very good teammate and kind of a headcase and that’s only going to become more obvious, not less.  But best case he’s Stephon Marbury without the court vision, and with the disappointment that is Acie Law and the low pressure of a #19 pick, the Hawks can take a chance on him.  The fly in the ointment here is that this pick is rumored to be for sale – the asking price being to take on the expiring contract of Speedy Claxton (so the Hawks can have some flexibility to resign Bibby), and a buyer may be looking for Teague, or T-Will, or Hansbrough.
20 Utah Terrence Williams, wing, 6′6″ 215, Sr. Louisville With nearly their entire frontline poised to become free agents and Boozer at the least a good candidate to leave, the Jazz would love to find a solid post player here.  Unfortunately, there’s not much in that vein to be found.  Hansbrough would be a decent fit, if only because he’s fundamentally solid and would do a good job playing for Jerry Sloan, but I think the Jazz will opt to hold out until next year’s post-heavy draft for their big man and try to get a wing here.  T-Will is a defensive beast and will fit in well with a Sloan system next to Ronnie Brewer and Kyle Korver, though if Boozer leaves he may be called upon to shoot a bit more than he might like.  Then again, maybe he’ll be the guy setting up the other, better Williams on the team.
21 New Orleans Tyler Hansbrough, post, 6′9.5″ 235, Sr. UNC Like Utah, New Orleans can use another presence in the post.  Besides, unless they’re after Casspi there’s a bit of a dropoff in the wing position, and with Chris Paul to keep happy the Hornets aren’t looking for a point.  So Hansbrough it is, and while he won’t solve their problem with Chandler (injury prone and half-traded already) he’ll be able to step up right away as a backup to David West.  Not much more you can ask for here.
22 Dallas Darren Collison, point, 6′1.5″ 165, Sr. UCLA With Jason Kidd getting one year closer to retirement, the Mavs biggest need is a project point guard to take over when it’s time.  The good news is that there are some good points left on the board, but the bad news is that there aren’t a lot of projects outside of maybe Mills.  Collison and Maynor are seniors and more polished, which means they’re better backups now but lower-ceiling guys later.  I like Collison here because I think his ceiling is higher, he’s a tenacious defender, and he’s got the speed to make Dallas begin to forget about trading away Devin Harris.  Collison will never get to Harris’ level, but best case he’s a league-average starter for the good part of a decade, and I’m not sure you’ll find better at #22.
23 Sacramento Omri Casspi, wing, 6′9″210, 20 y.o. Israel Since the Kings have landed Rubio at #4, they don’t need a point here.  If they were to, Maynor would make sense, but instead they should look for a post first and a wing second.  Oddly enough, Gani Lawal was probably seriously in play for this pick (with a second workout in Sacramento) until he pulled out of the draft.  That probably cements Omri Casspi at this slot. Casspi has good size and a great motor, a good looking shot with range and a non-Euro tendency for the big dunk, and despite a lineup at the wing in Sacramento, he’ll have a chance to contribute down the road.
24 Portland Sam Young, wing, 6′6.5″ 225, Sr. Pittsburgh Portland is in the enviable position of not really needing anybody at all in this draft.  Pritchard is liable to sell off this pick in a reversal of his strategy in the previous few drafts (acquire, acquire, acquire).  But since there’s not a lot of speculation on that, I’ll just guess that Portland may go after an established defensive player to bring off the bench.  Sam Young has the tools to wow ‘em, and would be a very high pick if he were 19 or 20.  Unfortunately he’s 23, two years older than most seniors, and his ceiling is a bit lower for it.  In fact he may be there.  The birght side?  He can step in right now and contribute off the bench as Portland looks to make a deep run in the playoffs.
25 Oklahoma City Josh Heytvelt, post, 6′11″ 245, Sr. Gonzaga After missing out on Thabeet early in the draft, the Thunder would really like to fill out their frontline here.  Taj Gibson might be tempting, but his smaller stature wouldn’t fit so well with Green already a bit undersized for the post.  Heytvelt had been seen as soft, but apparently in his recent workouts he’s been looking a bit nastier and that may be enough to seal him a first-round slot.
26 Chicago Chase Budinger, wing, 6′7.5″ 205, Jr. Arizona With the possible departure of Ben Gordon, the Bulls could use some insurance against losing his outside shooting.  While he’s nowhere near the same kind of slasher and energy player that Gordon is, and although he’s still hung with questionable defense and work ethic, Budinger is the best shooter left in the draft, hands down.  Actually, he may be the best shooter in the draft, period.  It’s rough to see Chicago going with a second guy who may not work hard after Mullens at #16, but he still makes a lot of sense here, and could go some ten spots higher.
27 Memphis DaJuan Summers, wing, 6′8.5″ 245, Jr. Georgetown After grabbing Thabeet with their #2, the Grizzlies are just going to look to get some value out of this pick.  Summers (like James Johnson) is a big wing/small post in the vein of his predecessor at Georgetown, Jeff Green.  He obviously won’t be as good, but if he can spell Gay a bit and maybe steal some minutes from Warrick, this will be asuccessful pick.
28 Minnesota Patrick Mills, point, 6’0.5″ 175, So. Saint Mary’s Minny has already grabbed DeRozan and Daye in this mock, and could badly use a point guard here to push on the somewhat disappointing Foye/Telfair combo.  There are a few available here, including Maynor and Rodrigue Beaubois, but I’ll say that Minnesota goes with Patty Mills.  After breaking his wrist midseason he wasn’t quite the same player in the late part of the year.  Additionally, he’s a bit small, and unlike a Flynn or a Lawson, doesn’t have that beef to back up his stature.  But he’s quick, and can shoot in streaks, and he’s got this awesome Australian accent which ought to be fun next to that Minnesota twang.
29 L.A. Lakers Eric Maynor, point, 6′3.5″ 165, Sr. VCU There’s quite a bit of scuttlebutt that the Lakers will sell this pick off to get out of the draft, but with Maynor surprisingly on the board, they’d do well to just grab him.  Fisher can’t play forever, and Farmar hasn’t been incredibly impressive, though he can probably cut it if need be.  Still, why not give a four-year guy like Maynor with a good attitude and good defense a shot?  At worst you pay him about $2M over two years and cut bait.  Or maybe he steps into the starting role for about five years.  That’s a decent gamble.
30 Cleveland Wayne Ellington, wing, 6′5.5″ 200, Jr. UNC The Cavs could really use another wing to play next to LeBron.  Wayne Ellington could really use to get drafted in the first round and land himself some guaranteed cash.  A match made in heaven?  Doubtful.  But it’s worth a shot.  Ellington has looked kind of weak going to the basket, but who cares when you’ve got LeBron?  He can shoot from outside, and that’s about all the Cavs need for now.